Data, Statistics and Analysis Resources for the Best Poker Bets Traffic Lights System

For Odds and Sods on Probabilities see MyOdds

Resources for the Best Poker Bets Traffic Lights System

The table below shows how the Traffic Lights Rankings (Green, Amber and Red) align with hand probabilities expressed as percentages of wins for the hand. The percentages are shown for 2-10 players. The table has been sorted to list the percentages (descending) for 3 players. The percentages >30 have been highlighted in light yellow.

Generally there is very good correspondence. The major exceptions are:

The pairs 99, 88 and 77 are rangked as Medium Value bets ('orange'), whereas the probabilities would suggest a 'Green' or high ranking. As the table shows the percentages very much depend on the number of players, ranking in the 'orange' range with 6-10 players. These pairs only have probabilities >30% for less than 4 players. Similarly the same comments apply to the small pocket pairs 66, and below, which only have probabilities >30% for less than 4 players.
King and Queen combinations with numbers 6 to 2 also have higher probabilities than the rating score would suggest. When there are more than 3 players large bets with these hands are risky because another player may have a higher number card. For example, a K9 will beat a K3. These hands should be avoided except when there are few players and the binds are small. When there are less than 4 players the King is what will count in winning the hand.

These Traffic Lights Rules is related to the Thrice is Nice Rule-of-Thumb.

Table highlighting hand ranks using the traffic light system for hand probabilities

[ Green => Very Good bet; Blue => Good Bet; Orange => Cautious bet; Red => Risky Bet []
The percentages >30 have been highlighted in light yellow.

Cards	2 pls	3 pls	4 pls	5 pls	6 pls	7 pls	8 pls	9 pls	10 pls
AA	85	73	64	56	49	44	39	35	31
KK	82	69	58	50	43	38	33	29	26
QQ	80	65	54	45	38	33	28	25	22
JJ	78	61	49	40	34	29	25	22	19
TT	75	58	45	36	30	25	22	19	17
99	72	54	41	33	27	22	19	17	16
AKs	67	51	41	35	31	28	25	23	21
88	69	50	38	29	24	20	18	16	14
AQs	66	49	40	34	29	26	23	21	19
AKo	65	48	39	32	28	24	22	19	17
AJs	65	48	39	32	28	25	22	20	18
ATs	65	47	37	31	27	24	21	19	17
KQs	63	47	38	33	28	25	23	20	19
AQo	65	47	37	30	26	23	20	18	16
77	66	46	34	27	22	19	16	15	14
KJs	63	46	37	31	27	24	21	19	18
AJo	64	46	35	29	24	21	18	16	14
KTs	62	45	36	30	26	23	20	19	17
A9s	63	45	35	28	24	21	19	17	15
ATo	63	44	34	28	23	20	17	15	13
KQo	61	44	35	29	25	22	19	17	15
QJs	60	44	36	30	26	23	21	19	17
A8s	62	44	34	27	23	20	18	16	15
66	63	43	32	25	20	17	15	14	13
KJo	61	43	34	28	24	20	18	16	14
QTs	60	43	35	29	25	22	20	18	17
A7s	61	43	33	27	23	20	17	16	14
K9s	60	42	33	27	23	20	18	16	15
KTo	60	42	33	27	22	19	17	15	13
JTs	58	42	34	29	25	22	20	18	17
A9o	61	42	31	25	20	17	15	13	11
A5s	60	41	32	26	22	20	18	16	15
QJo	58	41	33	27	23	20	17	15	14
A6s	60	41	31	26	22	19	17	15	14
A8o	60	41	30	24	19	16	14	12	11
Q9s	58	41	32	26	23	20	18	16	15
A4s	59	40	31	25	22	19	17	16	14
K8s	59	40	31	25	21	19	17	15	14
QTo	57	40	31	26	22	19	16	14	13
55	60	40	29	22	19	16	14	13	12
J9s	56	40	31	26	22	20	18	16	15
K9o	58	40	30	24	20	17	14	12	11
A7o	59	39	29	23	18	15	13	11	10
A3s	58	39	30	25	21	19	17	15	14
K7s	58	39	30	25	21	18	16	15	13
JTo	55	39	31	25	22	19	16	15	13
T9s	54	39	31	26	23	20	18	16	15
Q8s	56	39	30	24	21	18	16	14	13
A2s	57	39	29	24	20	18	16	15	13
K6s	57	38	29	24	20	18	16	14	13
A5o	58	38	28	22	18	15	13	12	10
A6o	58	38	28	22	18	15	13	11	10
Q9o	56	38	29	23	19	16	14	12	11
J8s	54	38	29	24	21	18	16	14	13
K5s	56	37	28	23	20	17	15	14	13
K8o	56	37	27	21	17	15	13	11	9
A4o	56	37	27	21	17	15	13	11	10
T8s	53	37	29	24	21	18	16	15	14
44	57	37	26	21	17	15	14	13	12
Q7s	55	37	28	23	19	17	15	13	12
J9o	53	37	28	23	19	16	14	12	11
K4s	55	36	27	22	19	17	15	13	12
K7o	55	36	26	21	17	14	12	10	9
98s	51	36	29	24	20	18	16	15	13
A3o	56	36	26	20	17	14	12	11	10
Q6s	54	36	27	22	19	16	14	13	12
T9o	52	36	28	23	19	16	14	13	11
K3s	54	36	27	22	18	16	15	13	12
Q8o	54	35	26	21	17	14	12	11	9
J7s	52	35	27	22	19	16	15	13	12
A2o	55	35	25	20	16	14	12	10	9
K6o	54	35	25	20	16	13	11	10	9
Q5s	53	35	26	21	18	16	14	13	12
T7s	51	35	27	22	19	17	15	14	12
K2s	53	35	26	21	18	16	14	13	12
J8o	52	34	26	20	17	14	12	11	10
97s	50	34	27	22	19	17	15	14	13
K5o	53	34	25	19	15	13	11	10	8
Q4s	52	34	26	21	18	15	14	12	11
87s	48	34	27	22	19	17	15	14	13
J6s	51	34	25	21	17	15	14	12	11
T8o	50	34	25	20	17	14	13	11	10
33	54	34	24	19	16	15	14	13	12
Q7o	52	33	24	19	15	13	11	9	8
Q3s	51	33	25	20	17	15	13	12	11
98o	48	33	25	20	17	14	12	11	10
K4o	52	33	23	18	15	12	11	9	8
J5s	50	33	25	20	17	15	13	12	11
T6s	49	33	25	21	17	15	14	12	11
Q6o	51	32	23	18	14	12	10	9	8
96s	48	32	25	20	17	15	14	12	11
Q2s	50	32	24	20	17	15	13	12	11
J7o	50	32	24	18	15	12	11	9	8
86s	47	32	25	21	18	16	14	13	12
76s	46	32	25	21	18	16	14	13	12
K3o	51	32	23	18	14	12	10	9	8
J4s	49	32	24	19	16	14	13	12	11
T7o	48	31	23	18	15	13	11	10	9
Q5o	50	31	22	17	14	12	10	9	7
K2o	50	31	22	17	14	12	10	9	8
J3s	48	31	23	19	16	14	13	11	10
97o	47	31	23	18	15	13	11	10	9
T5s	47	31	23	19	16	14	12	11	10
22	50	31	22	18	16	14	13	13	12
87o	46	31	23	19	15	13	12	10	9
95s	46	30	23	19	16	14	12	11	10
Q4o	49	30	21	16	13	11	9	8	7
85s	45	30	23	19	16	14	13	12	11
65s	43	30	24	20	17	15	14	13	12
J2s	47	30	23	18	16	14	12	11	10
T4s	46	30	23	18	16	14	12	11	10
75s	44	30	23	19	17	15	13	12	11
J6o	48	30	21	17	13	11	9	8	7
T3s	46	29	22	18	15	13	12	11	10
Q3o	48	29	21	16	13	11	9	8	7
T6o	46	29	21	17	13	11	10	8	7
J5o	47	29	21	16	13	11	9	8	7
96o	45	29	21	17	14	11	10	9	8
54s	41	29	23	19	17	15	14	13	12
86o	44	29	21	17	14	12	10	9	8
T2s	45	29	21	17	15	13	12	11	10
76o	43	29	22	17	14	12	11	10	9
64s	41	29	22	18	16	14	13	12	11
Q2o	47	28	20	15	12	10	9	8	7
94s	44	28	21	17	15	13	11	10	9
74s	42	28	22	18	15	14	12	11	10
J4o	46	28	20	15	12	10	9	8	7
84s	43	28	21	17	15	13	12	11	10
93s	43	28	21	17	14	13	11	10	9
J3o	45	27	19	15	12	10	8	7	6
T5o	44	27	19	15	12	10	8	7	6
53s	39	27	21	18	15	14	13	12	11
92s	42	27	20	16	14	12	11	10	9
95o	43	27	19	15	12	10	9	7	7
65o	40	27	20	16	13	12	10	9	9
85o	42	27	19	15	12	11	9	8	7
75o	41	27	20	16	13	11	10	9	8
63s	39	27	20	17	15	13	12	11	10
T4o	43	26	19	14	12	10	8	7	6
83s	41	26	20	16	14	12	11	10	9
73s	40	26	20	16	14	12	11	10	9
J2o	44	26	18	14	11	9	8	7	6
43s	38	26	20	17	15	13	12	11	10
82s	40	26	19	16	13	12	11	10	9
T3o	42	26	18	14	11	9	8	7	6
52s	38	25	20	16	14	13	11	11	10
54o	38	25	19	15	13	11	10	9	8
62s	38	25	19	15	13	12	11	10	9
T2o	42	25	17	13	11	9	8	7	6
64o	38	25	18	14	12	10	9	8	8
94o	41	25	17	13	11	9	7	6	6
42s	36	25	19	16	14	12	11	10	10
74o	39	25	18	14	11	10	9	8	7
72s	38	25	18	15	13	11	10	9	9
84o	40	24	18	13	11	9	8	7	6
93o	40	24	17	13	10	8	7	6	5
32s	35	24	18	15	13	12	11	10	9
53o	36	23	17	14	11	10	9	8	7
92o	39	23	16	12	10	8	7	6	5
63o	36	23	16	13	11	9	8	7	7
83o	38	22	16	12	10	8	7	6	5
73o	37	22	16	12	10	8	7	6	6
43o	34	22	16	13	11	9	8	8	7
82o	37	22	15	11	9	8	6	6	5
52o	34	21	15	12	10	9	8	7	6
62o	34	21	15	11	9	8	7	6	5
42o	33	21	15	12	10	8	7	7	6
72o	35	20	14	11	9	7	6	5	5
32o	31	20	14	11	9	8	7	6	6

Start Card Hand Win Percentages for Various Players

With Ways of Winning and Hand Scores (Traffic Lights)

			>7 A+any - suited => J&Q 8,9 are weak
Ways to win >7	Score	# of players	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
1	16	AA	85	73	64	56	49	43	39	31
1	14	KK	82	69	58	50	43	38	33	29
1	12	QQ	80	65	54	45	38	33	28	25
1	10	JJ	78	61	49	40	34	29	25	22
1	10	1010	75	58	45	36	30	25	22	19
1	8	99	72	54	41	33	26	22	19	17
1	8	88	69	50	38	29	24	20	18	16
4	14	AK s	67	51	41	35	31	28	25	23
3	13	AQ s	67	50	40	33	29	26	23	21
3	11	AJ s	67	49	38	32	27	24	21	19
1	8	77	66	46	34	26	21	19	16	15
3	11	A10 s	66	47	37	31	26	23	20	18
3	12	AK	65	48	39	32	28	24	22	19
2	11	AQ	64	47	37	30	26	23	20	18
2	9	AJ	64	46	35	29	24	21	18	16
3	10	A9 s	64	45	34	28	23	20	18	16
3	11	KJ s	64	46	37	31	27	23	21	19
1	8	66	63	43	32	25	20	17	15	14
2	9	A10	63	44	34	28	23	20	17	15
4	12	KQ s	63	47	38	33	28	25	23	20
3	10	A8 s	63	44	33	27	22	19	17	15
3	11	K10 s	63	45	36	30	25	22	20	18
3	10	A7 s	62	42	31	25	21	18	16	14
2	8	A9	61	42	31	25	20	17	15	13
2	10	KQ	61	44	35	29	25	21	19	17
2	8	KJ	61	43	34	28	24	20	18	16
2	9	A6 s	61	41	31	24	20	17	15	14
2	9	A5 s	61	41	31	24	20	17	15	14
3	9	K9 s	61	43	33	27	23	20	17	15
1	6	55	60	40	29	22	19	16	14	13
2	8	A8	60	41	30	24	19	16	14	12
2	8	K10	60	42	33	27	22	19	17	15
4	10	QJ s	60	44	36	30	26	23	21	19
3	9	Q10 s	60	43	34	29	25	22	19	17
2	8	A7	59	39	28	22	18	15	13	11
2	9	A4 s	59	40	30	24	20	17	15	14
2	9	A3 s	59	39	29	23	20	17	15	13
3	9	K8 s	59	40	30	24	20	18	16	14
3	8	Q9 s	59	41	32	26	22	19	17	15
1	9	A6	58	38	28	21	17	14	12	11
1	9	A5	58	38	28	21	17	14	12	11
2	9	K9	58	40	30	24	20	17	14	12
2	8	QJ	58	41	33	27	23	20	17	15
4	8	J10 s	58	42	34	29	25	22	20	18
2	9	A2 s	58	38	28	23	19	17	15	13
2	9	K7 s	58	39	29	24	20	17	15	13
1	6	44	57	37	25	21	17	15	14	13
2	7	Q10	57	40	31	26	22	19	16	14
2	6	K6 s	57	38	28	23	19	16	14	13
3	8	Q8 s	57	38	29	24	20	17	15	14
1	7	A4	56	37	27	21	17	14	12	11
1	7	A3	56	36	26	20	17	14	12	10
2	7	K8	56	37	27	21	17	15	13	11
2	6	Q9	56	38	29	23	19	16	14	12
3	7	J9 s	56	40	31	26	22	19	17	15
1	7	A2	55	35	25	20	16	14	12	10
1	7	K7	55	36	26	21	17	14	12	10
2	7	J10	55	39	31	25	22	19	16	15
2	8	K4 s	55	36	26	21	18	15	14	12
2	8	Q7 s	55	36	27	22	18	16	14	12
3	7	J8 s	55	37	29	23	20	17	15	14
1	6	33	54	34	24	19	16	15	14	13
1	6	K6	54	35	25	20	16	13	11	10
2	6	Q8	54	35	26	21	17	14	12	11
4	8	T9 s	54	39	31	26	23	20	18	16
2	8	K3 s	54	35	26	21	17	15	13	12
1	8	Q6 s	54	35	26	21	17	15	13	12
1	6	K5	53	34	25	19	15	13	11	10
2	6	J9	53	37	28	23	19	16	14	12
2	8	K2 s	53	34	25	20	17	15	13	12
2	8	Q5 s	53	34	23	20	17	15	13	12
2	7	J7 s	53	35	27	21	18	15	14	12
1	6	K4	52	33	23	18	15	12	11	9
1	6	Q7	52	33	24	19	15	13	11	9
2	5	J8	52	34	26	20	17	14	12	11
2	6	T9	52	32	28	23	19	16	14	13
2	8	Q4 s	52	33	24	19	16	14	12	11
1	6	K3	51	32	23	18	14	12	10	9
1	5	Q6	51	32	23	18	14	12	10	9
3	7	98 s	51	36	29	24	20	18	16	15
2	8	Q3 s	51	32	24	19	16	14	12	11
1	6	22	50	31	22	18	16	14	13	13
1	6	K2	50	31	22	17	14	12	10	9
1	5	Q5	50	31	20	17	14	12	10	9
2	7	J7	50	32	24	18	15	12	11	9
2	8	Q2 s	50	31	23	18	15	13	12	11
1	5	Q4	49	30	21	16	13	11	9	8
1	5	Q3	48	29	21	16	13	11	9	8
2	5	98	48	33	25	20	17	14	12	11
2	7	87 s	48	34	27	22	19	17	15	14
1	5	Q2	47	28	20	15	12	10	9	8
2	5	87	46	31	23	19	15	13	12	10
2	6	76 s	46	32	25	21	18	16	14	13
1	5	76	43	29	22	17	14	12	11	10
1	4	65 s	43	30	24	20	17	15	14	13
1	4	54 s	41	29	23	19	17	15	14	13
0	3	65	40	27	20	16	13	12	10	9
0	3	54	38	25	19	15	13	11	10	9
0	4	43 s	38	26	20	17	15	13	12	11
0	4	32 s	35	24	18	15	13	12	11	10
0	3	43	34	22	16	13	11	9	8	8
0	3	32	31	20	14	11	9	8	7	6